It is possible that the first samples of the opinion polls after the announcement of the blue European ballot and the inclusion of Freddy Belleris show a “brake” in the downward course of the ND percentages and that the special advisers of the prime minister predict the achievement of the goal, but in the government staff they are not complacent, because a ballot box is a ballot box, as they typically say.
After all, lately, the government, although without a strong opponent, has been put in a difficult position many times by her own manipulations, while a number of her choices have hurt her conservative audience. In addition, the European elections traditionally favor loose voting and protest voting, while the fact that the polls will be held in the early summer, causes reasonable anxiety about the degree of participation of citizens.
In the government staff, after all, they know that it can be implied publicly that the comparison will be made with the results of the 2019 European elections, which ND secured 33%but in reality the percentage will be compared to the 41% that the ruling faction got last spring.
In the last meetings held at the Maximos Palace, attended by the American communicator Stan Greenberg, the dominant prediction was that after the inclusion of of the imprisoned Mayor of Heimarra Freddy Beleris and a series of moves to melt the ice in the relations between the ruling faction and the Church, the ND will exceed the bar of 33%, with the possibility of its percentage reaching up to 35%.
If the above prediction is confirmed, then the ND will head into the second four-year term with strong chances of gaining another independence at the end of its term.
However, there is also the bad scenario: To move its rates SW around 30% or even below. In such a case, the ruling faction will have lost at least ten percentage points in one year, and managing the second four-year period will be more difficult.
Much more since the prime minister has put political stability at stake while he has highlighted the European elections as a vote of confidence in his person.
Even in this case, however, the big picture will also play a role sum of the percentages of SYRIZA and PASOK-KINAL as is the difference of the second party from the first.
