We still have six years of “normal life” on the planet

I wish this was another issue for her climate crisis.

Unfortunately it is cry of despair tens of thousands of climate scientists who see that the time to avoid the worst of global warming is over.

They inform that we have already entered one ‘unknown region’ who wants her Zoe to planet to be under siege. Not once, but here and now.

Politicians have driven scientists to despair

In 2019 his ecology professor Oregon State Universityin the Department of Forest Ecosystems and Society, Dr. William J. Ripple had published a paper, entitled “World Scientists Warn of a Climate Emergency”.

He had asked anyone who wanted to sign it.

Today, this document has more than 15,000 signatures.

In other words, more than 15,000 relevant authorities are warning humanity that if drastic changes are not made immediately, especially regarding carbon dioxide gas emissions, we will have to forget about life as we know it.

Not in 100 years, but much sooner: before the decade is out.

As emphasized in her article Washington Post “After a few years of record temperatures and extreme weather, Ripple’s experience is a sign of how climate scientists, who once shied away from entering the public debate, are now using harsh language to describe a warming planet.”

“Their communication with the media and the public has become angrier – and more desperate».

Characteristically, the term “climate emergency” had been mentioned in only 32 studies published since 2015. In 2022 it was present in 862 papers.

At the same time, those who make the decisions do not seem to be particularly moved.

The researchers explained that they are no longer afraid to use terms like ’emergency’ or ‘climate and ecological crisis’, since “mere ‘urgency’ is not enough for a politician” – as recent history has shown.

In this ‘climate’, on Monday 30/10, scientists published a document showing that o global “carbon budget” (the amount of greenhouse gas emissions the world can still emit without raising global temperatures more than 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels) has shrunk by 1/3.

How did the +1.5 degree Celsius temperature limit come about?

The need to stabilize the rise in global temperature, below the specified limit, was set as a basic condition to avoid catastrophic and potentially irreversible changes, as effects of climate change, in Paris Climate Agreement in 2016.

The countries that signed it pledged to do the right thing.

The No. 1 priority was to reduce gas emissions as soon as possible.

Seven years later, no substantial step has been taken in this direction.

“The world has only 6 years left at current emission levels before this temperature threshold is exceeded.”

HOW WILL OUR LIFE CHANGE IN 6 YEARS

Give me some time to explain what life will be like in six years at the latest, if we don’t do something – which we haven’t done in 25 years.

The following are from scientists who study models and believe that +1.5 degrees Celsius is a key tipping point beyond which the chances of extreme floods, droughts, fires and food shortages could increase dramatically.

Here’s what awaits us from her global warmingwhich if you want it in more understandable terms is like the heat stroke that happens to anyone who lives in a car, with closed windows, under the sun, in the summer.

• Extreme weather events (droughts, storms, fires, heat waves) will be the “new normal”since their frequency and intensity will increase (they are likely to have disastrous economic and social effects).
• We will have more intense heat waves. This can lead to a greater risk of heat-related illness and death, particularly among vulnerable populations. Scientists have explained how when humidity and temperature rise at the same time, then our body cannot sweat and regulate its temperature. Something that threatens our lives in general.
• We will have more deaths from cardiovascular problems, as a study published on 10/30 reveals. This will affect older people (65 and over) and African-Americans more.
• Sea levels will rise (rising temperatures are causing polar ice caps and glaciers to melt. Exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius could accelerate this process, leading to more coastal flooding and displacement of people from low altitude areas).
• Storms will be more intense (warmer oceans can fuel stronger hurricanes and hurricanes, leading to increased storm intensity and damage).
• The ecosystem will be disrupted (ecosystems such as coral reefs and polar regions are particularly sensitive to temperature changes. Warming beyond 1.5 degrees can lead to irreversible damage, causing loss of biodiversity and affecting the livelihoods of communities that depend on them).
• There will be further agricultural impacts (oil is a good case for trailer of those to come. Warmer temperatures and changing weather conditions can disrupt agricultural systems, leading to reduced crop yields and lack of food. This can contribute to food insecurity and higher food prices).
• We won’t have water for everyone (changes in precipitation patterns and increased evaporation may lead to water scarcity in many areas. This may affect drinking water supplies, agriculture and industry).

• The oceans will become more acidic (increased levels of CO2 in the Earth’s atmosphere lead to the absorption of more carbon dioxide by the oceans, causing acidification. This can harm marine life and disrupt the ocean food chain).

He also noted that the financial cost related to climate change adaptation and mitigation will increase significantly, as global temperatures rise beyond 1.5 degrees. This could lead to significant decline in global GDP.

Meanwhile, it is estimated that there may be global migration -which potentially leads to conflict and displacement of people.

“LIFE ON THE PLANET IS UNDER SIEGE”

The most recent climate study was published on 10/24 and was signed by Ripple. With it, he informed that the planet has entered ‘uncharted territory‘, regarding the effects of the climate crisis.

The figures show that we are six years away from exceeding the 1.5 degree Celsius limit on global warming, based on the current rate of carbon dioxide emissions.

This year we experienced the hottest month in history (since records are kept), with UN to state that “the era of global boiling has begun”. An extreme term, but as you read earlier, politicians are not moved differently.

In the summary of the findings of the latest research, it is stated that “life on planet Earth is under siege. We are now in uncharted territory.

For several decades, scientists have consistently warned of a future characterized by extreme climate conditions due to escalating global temperatures caused by continued human activities that release harmful greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

“Unfortunately, time is up.”

We are seeing the manifestation of these predictions as an alarming and unprecedented succession of climate records are being broken, causing deeply painful scenes of suffering to unfold.

We are entering uncharted territory regarding our climate crisis, a situation that no one has ever experienced first-hand in human history.”

WHICH IS THE YES MEN, BUT

THE Tim Lenton, one of the authors of the recent Ripple paper and a professor of earth system science at the University of Exeter, said that “2023 was filled with temperatures so far outside the norm that they are very difficult to rationalize. This does not fit a simple statistical model.”

THE Joeri Rogelja climate scientist at Imperial College London added that “there are no technical scenarios globally available in the scientific literature that support that this is actually possible or even describe how it would be possible.”

In an earlier related topic of his MagazineThe Dr. Angelos Sotiropoulos. a physicist with a master’s degree in Environmental Physics and a PhD in Chemistry had explained that “there is no necessary knowledge to see exactly how the climate will be in 2-3 or 10 years.

These are models that work with data,” without scientists having it all at their disposal since there were no records millions of years ago.

According to the expert, of course, “we are talking about the biggest threat on the planet and we are handling it as if nothing is happening. We give a little money here, we fight a war further. No one is really involved, globally”.

He also emphasized that the climate crisis “is essentially a problem caused mainly by the large producer countries (see G8) that produce at least 70% of air pollution, together with the countries that consume them, many of which are members of the European Union: indirectly contribute to climate change, by consuming energy and goods from unsustainable countries”.

I’ll leave you with the alarmist’s note that “the problem isn’t that scientists haven’t communicated clearly enough. We communicated everything, very clearly. Anyone who wanted to receive the message was there.”

But apparently, there were many who blew the whistle indifferently. And now we are – realistically – all at risk.