What Weapons Will Russia Use in the Ukraine War From Now On – Ground and Air Analysis

What Weapons Will Russia Use in the Ukraine War From Now On – Ground and Air Analysis
What Weapons Will Russia Use in the Ukraine War From Now On – Ground and Air Analysis

The problem that Ukraine will face is the loss of its capable combat officers and soldiers, who are difficult to replace numerically and qualitatively in relation to corresponding Russian losses, due to Moscow’s much larger reserve and the prolongation of the war.

“Russian mobilization – What weapons can Moscow use now“, is the title of an Israeli media article whose highlights are as follows:

“Russia has announced a partial mobilization order seven months after the war in Ukraine began. This mobilization will give Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu the ability to field more units and apparently learn from some of Russia’s recent exercises.

“The basis for the deployment of mobilization of military units, military commissions and reinforcement equipment are ready for mobilization. The time is ripe to apply the experience gained during the annual strategic exercises,” Russian state media reported.

According to the same report, those called to fight, as it appears from the presidential decree, will enjoy the status of a contract military.

Moscow still calls the war in Ukraine a special military operation. Russia claims it is dampening Ukrainian counterattacks that have seen Russia lose ground in Ukraine. Notably, the mobilization comes as Russia seeks to consolidate control over the region of Ukraine it holds, giving more power to the two separatist regions it has already recognized and potentially holding referendums in new regions.

Moscow’s decision to mobilize will increase the strength of the Russian military by 137,000 troops, but will take months to achieve apparently.

“The combat power of airborne troops continues to be built up as the basis of the rapid reaction force,” Tas said.

More Paratroopers

One aspect of the mobilization is that it may free up other units to be used in Ukraine.

For example, reports in Ukraine and on social media say that Russia has transferred elements of its 217th paratrooper regiment from Syria to Ukraine.

Russia has focused a lot on its paratrooper units in recent years and has already sent some of these units into combat. In April, the BBC reported that the 331 Guards paratrooper regiment was badly damaged in the fighting in Ukraine. Ukrainian reports indicate that the 137th Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation has also suffered casualties recently. There were also reports of the Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) refusing to fight in Ukraine.

The Russian units involved in the war have left their mark on Ukraine, not only in terms of civilian abuses but also in their successes and failures.

Many have faulty equipment and the Russian military is not performing well. A member of the 56th Guards Air Assault Regiment based in Crimea describes some of these failures in a soldier’s diary published by various media outlets.

Lack of vehicles

Russia has already lost masses of tanks and other vehicles in the Ukraine war. By May it may have lost 650 tanks and 3,000 vehicles, and today the losses are even greater.

An August article in Bloomberg noted that “up to 80,000 Russian soldiers have been killed or wounded in the war, US Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kall said at a regular Pentagon briefing on Monday.

The US assessment was also that Russia had depleted a significant proportion of its precision-guided munitions, including air-to-air and sea-based missiles, and had lost up to 4,000 tanks and other armored vehicles, he said.

Russia is reportedly using old equipment, including T-62 tanks, in Ukraine.

Drones to make up for the lack of new technology

Will it be able to equip the new units with the kind of modern technology that battlefields require, such as electro-optical and electronic warfare devices, sensors and modern vehicles?

Russia has already turned to using Iranian drones to strike Ukraine.

These Shahed-136 drones are simply cheap kamikaze drones that can fly to a target. They are not very large and are not used in large numbers so far.

North Korean and other weapons from abroad

It is believed that Russia is seeking to replenish its arsenal by scouring the world for weapons. Russia is under sanctions and doesn’t have many friends and allies to sell it the equipment it needs. North Korea is a place where Russia can look for systems like artillery. The Russian military has been good at artillery for hundreds of years and will need masses of artillery to fortify any kind of front line if they want to consolidate control. Russia is believed to be buying rockets and shells from North Korea to stockpile or replenish ammunition stocks.

More tanks

Russia has deployed a variety of tanks and vehicles in the Ukraine war. It is unclear whether it has deliberately chosen at times to send older vehicles as cannon fodder, or whether Russia simply does not have enough equipment to wage the war the way it wants.

Some attention has been focused on questions arising from the performance of Russia’s most modern T-90 main battle tanks. According to the Ukrainian military, a T-90M “Proryv” tank was recently captured by Ukrainian forces.

The report says that “the first batch of these tanks was received only in 2020. The first batch was transferred to the 2nd Mechanized Rifle Division of the 1st Guards Army.

The Т-90М “Proryv” was developed as part of the “Proryv-3″ R&D and is an upgraded version of the Russian Т-90 MBT, which in turn is an upgrade of the Soviet-era T-72 tank”

Russia had about 3,300 tanks at the start of the war. It has lost up to 1,000 tanks, but it is not clear how many of these came from the stock of operational tanks or older tanks of which Russia had another 10,000 tanks of various varieties, according to an article in the Kyiv Independent.

This article notes “Russia has lost at least 220 older T-72B tanks and about 270 of the modified T-72B3/M versions in the 2010s. The number of tank losses includes at least 35 T-80BVMs and over 20 T-90A/M tanks, which Ukrainian experts consider the most advanced and durable Russian types of tanks.”

Russia has many more T-72s, T-80s, T-90s and older tanks dating back to the cold war, such as the T-62s. It doesn’t appear that Russia has committed its best armored units to combat so far, which potentially means that more T-90s and their more modern version could be deployed.

Russian Air Force

Russia appears to be refraining from committing large amounts of air force resources to the war in Ukraine. There were initial uses of airborne assault elements using helicopters near Kyiv, but these failures appeared to end Russia’s use of the skies over Ukraine to dominate the war.

Russia has not been able to conduct enough aerial surveillance and its surveillance or ISR drones such as the Orlan-10 are not performing well and have suffered losses, especially the Orlan-10 which suffered heavy losses early in the war and has become their replacement is problematic due to Western sanctions.

An article in Defense News notes “Russian warplanes only attack targets with known coordinates, as called by Russian ground forces. However, Russia’s lack of reliable reconnaissance drones means that many of its ground units cannot see what’s over the next hill, which further degrades reconnaissance-in-depth capabilities. In short, Ukraine’s air denial strategy combined with insufficient quantities of reliable Russian drones were critical factors in Ukraine’s counterattack.”

Russia has its own anti-aircraft defenses, such as the Pantsir system, but Russian air defense radars also reportedly suffered losses because the US supplied Ukraine with high-speed anti-radiation missiles.

Russia has resorted to cruise missiles instead of airstrikes and this method has not enabled it to gain air superiority or win the conflict.

The Russian air force was largely absent from the conflict.

That could change now, and Russia could choose to use Su-34s with guided munitions or Su-30s, which carry unguided munitions.

Russia also has Su-35s and has used the Su-34 in Syria, while it is unclear why Russia has not used more planes in Ukraine. He’s obviously afraid of losing them. With several hundred aircraft that could be used, it appears that Russia has largely kept them at their bases.

The whole war so far has been done by Russia on the cheap. He tried to destroy Ukraine, without committing huge numbers of troops and without wasting too much equipment. However, this piecemeal approach to warfare has resulted in staggering casualties

Now Russia is mobilizing as winter approaches and Russia likes winter counterattacks.

It could be preparing to use newly mobilized troops to reinforce troops already in Ukraine.

Russia has relied on mercenaries, POWs, Chechen fighters and local Ukrainian separatists to do some of the fighting so far. Many of the units he has sent to Ukraine have been bloodied and lost mountains of essential equipment.

With Russia now relying on Iranian drones, it is unclear whether Moscow is ready to risk any of its gold-plated platforms, such as large ships and planes and modern tanks. This is because every ship sunk or plane shot down or modern battle tank lost is a major setback for Moscow and a victory for NATO.

There are other questions about what Russia might do next.

Moscow likes to imply the development of nuclear weapons as a warning to the West. There are also questions about whether Russia will recruit men with no military experience or call on veterans.

It can take months to train new units or return these men to their old units.

As for other equipment, Russia could use S-300 air defense systems and more of the 240mm mortars. , more missiles and rocket-launching vehicles like the TOS-1.”

Findings-Conclusions

From the above we conclude that Russia has the ability to involve advanced weapons systems in the war in Ukraine, such as T-90 tanks and its hitherto virtually absent air force from the battlefields, aided by Iranian drones and the multitude of men who will throw at the front because of the partial recruitment that he is attempting, with an emphasis on the Paratroopers and the “critical specialties”, of tank-TOMB-TOMA crews.

The above should be considered as almost certain to turn the situation in Ukraine against the Russians, unless the West decides to reinforce Zelensky with more advanced weapons, such as F-16 fighter jets.

The problem that Ukraine will face, however, is the loss of its capable combat officers and soldiers, who are difficult to replace numerically and qualitatively in relation to corresponding Russian losses, due to Moscow’s much larger reserve and the prolongation of the war.

The article is in Greek

Tags: Weapons Russia Ukraine War Ground Air Analysis

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