Predictions and betting analysis for the matchup of the Milwaukee Bucks in Indiana with the Pacers.
After yesterday’s feast, tonight’s NBA schedule includes just two games, but one of them is the Milwaukee Bucks, who are testing in Indianapolis (10/11 02:00 Cosmote Sport 4HD, Live from SPORT24).
Milwaukee (5-2) beat Detroit hard yesterday at home with 120-118, overcoming the expulsion of Giannis at the beginning of the 3rd period with a second technical penalty. For the “deer”, as expected, Damian Lillard stepped up with 34 points, including 18 in the fourth period. “This game was an opportunity for the team to show its character,” Lillard said about the fact that the Bucks stood up even without the Greek Freak.
On the other hand, Indiana made another impressive performance offensively, beating the Jazz 134-118 at home. Rick Carlisle saw three of his players (Nesmith, Turner, Maturin) score over 20 points and two more (Smith and Haliburton) record double-doubles.
The Pacers are one of the most spectacular teams in this year’s NBA, as well they score 126 points per game and dish out 31.1 assists. Both performances are league-leading. Especially in the last four matches, they exceeded 120 in all and against San Antonio, on Monday, they put up 152 points!
Milwaukee had a 10-game winning streak against Indiana until last year. The Pacers snapped the streak last season, but lost the series 3-1, so in the last 14 games between them, the record is 13-1 in favor of the Bucks.
The “deers” are a slight favorite tonight at 3.5 points, but Indiana (5-3) is sure to do some damage this year and needs a lot of attention. Our base here will be the Over, as it pits two naturally attacking teams that are in Pace’s Top 6.
Giannis is fresh
Over 230.5 is offered at just 1.34 as Indiana has made it five games in a row and the Bucks have pulled it off 6/7 times this year. Also, chances are that Milwaukee will go down with a full lineup tonight, since Khris Middleton was protected yesterday, apparently to play the back to back with the Pacers.
So together with 27+ points from Giannis, we are building a performance of 2.05. Antetokounmpo played just 22 minutes yesterday, so he’ll be the Bucks’ freshest player tonight. Indiana’s defense is allowing a league-worst 61.3 points per game in the paint. It is reminded that last season, in three matches with the Pacers, Giannis scored 41, 25 and 38 points respectively.
A combo centered around the Pacers’ star, Tyrese Halliburton, who is averaging 22.9 points this year and is the league’s leading scorer with 11.9 assists, can also be considered. The Bucks have been facing a serious problem in their perimeter defense since the beginning of the season.
Yesterday, for example, they received 33 points from Cade Cunningham. They allowed Cam Thomas to score 45 against the Nets in Brooklyn. They got another 45 from Jaylen Brunson at home against the Knicks. 24 by Schroeder (Toronto), 35 by Hiro (Miami) and 31 by Maxey (Philadelphia). At 2.37, Haliburton will score over 21 points tonight and at the same time do a double-double.
Indiana – Milwaukee, 02:00
- Over 230.5 & Giannis 27+ points (odds 2.05)
- Haliburton Over 21.5 & double-double (odds 2.37)